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    Costco posts another quarter of sales growth against an uncertain consumer environment

    Anthony M. OrbisonBy Anthony M. OrbisonDecember 12, 2024No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Costco (COST) slightly beat estimates in its fiscal first quarter results as inflation-weary shoppers turn to the wholesale retailer.

    Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.04, compared to Bloomberg consensus estimates of $3.81. Revenue of $62.15 billion also beat expectations of $61.98 billion.

    “Our members are willing to spend as inflation comes down” as long as there’s “newness of items, quality, and value,” CFO Gary Millerchip said on its earnings call.

    Same-store sales, excluding fuel, grew 7.2% in the quarter, boosted by its US business, followed by international and then Canada.

    Foot traffic, up 5.1%, missed the 6.87% jump Wall Street hoped for, but ticket size grew 0.1%, besting the 0.40% decline the Street predicted.

    Millerchip added there’s a “bifurcation” among consumers when it comes to food shopping with some buying higher-priced meats, while others going for lower priced items like poultry, some cuts of beef and pork.

    Costco shares are flat Thursday after the results. Year to date, its stock is up over 50%, outpacing the 27% gain for the S&P 500 (^GSPC).

    Here’s what Costco reported for its fiscal first quarter, which ended Dec. 4, 2024, compared to Bloomberg consensus estimates.

    Revenue: $62.15 billion versus $61.98 billion

    Adjusted earnings per share: $4.04 versus $3.81

    Total company comparable sales growth, excluding fuel: 7.2% versus 6.26%

    • US same-store sales growth: 7.2% versus 6.14%

    • Canada same-store sales growth: 6.7 % versus 5.68%

    • Other international sales growth: 7.1% versus 7.08%

    E-commerce growth: 13.2% versus 14.1%

    Membership fee revenue: $1.17 billion versus $1.17 billion

    Potential tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump are catching the eyes of management. It’s “difficult for anyone to predict” due to “uncertainty around the timing and scope of changes,” said Millerchip, calling tariffs “not something that we see as a positive in general.”

    “We believe that our merchants and buyers are equipped … [to] work through and navigate and manage that situation,” he said.

    A few options include pulling forward inventory buying, working with vendors to mitigate costs, considering alternative sourcing locations, or reconsidering which items to sell.

    A quarter of Costco’s business is non-food items that will be affected, though only a “subset” of that category is imported.

    On Sept. 1, Costco hiked the price of its Gold Star membership by $5 to $65 and the price of its Executive membership by $10 to $130. This was the first full quarter since the price hike.

    Membership fee income grew 7.8% to $1.17 billion, compared to the $1.08 billion reported last year.

    The company hadn’t raised its membership fees since 2017, and Costco said it delayed the increase until the team felt like inflation started to dissipate and consumers’ spending power returned.

    In the first quarter, renewal rates reached 90.4%. In total, there are 138.8 million cardholders, a 7.2% increase year over year.

    Costco operates 897 warehouses worldwide as of last quarter, up from 891 last quarter. Vachris said he expects roughly 30 warehouses to open per year, with a “good portion, not quite half” outside the US.

    Its e-commerce business grew 13.2% but missed estimates of 14.1%.

    Online sales were boosted by gold and jewelry, in addition to hardware, gift cards, home furniture, sporting goods, and health and beauty aids.

    From a year ago, the average value per online order grew 4% and site traffic grew 16%.

    Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh called Costco a “Top Pick.”

    “We continue to see a strong outlook for market share gains and believe Costco is well positioned to sustain robust top-line momentum,” he wrote in a note to clients, adding that it continues to step up efforts around general merchandise “from a powerful gift card offering to newer premium brands.”

    Parikh said a stock split could be in the future. The stock is currently hovering around $1,000 per share.

    Millerchip said a stock split isn’t in the plans currently. The “ability now to buy fractional shares” makes the argument for it “a little bit less clear” than in the past.

    “We do also recognize that there’s a benefit of the stock feeling more affordable for our retail investors and employees who are very important constituents for us, so we’ll continue to evaluate over time,” he added.

    —

    Brooke DiPalma is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow her on X at @BrookeDiPalma or email her at bdipalma@yahoofinance.com.

    Click here for all of the latest retail stock news and events to better inform your investing strategy



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